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  • Writer's pictureEd DiMarco MS, MA

Florida Housing Market 2024: Real Estate Prices and Predictions for Florida Real Estate Market

Florida Housing Market 2024 Real Estate Prices and Predictions for Florida Real Estate Market

Trends in the Florida Real Estate Market 2024

The Florida housing market in 2024 is navigating through a landscape marked by fluctuating sales figures, rising prices, increasing inventory, and evolving legislative efforts. Here's an in-depth analysis of the latest data and recent market developments.

Closed Sales: The number of closed sales for all property types in Florida has decreased by 12.2% year-over-year, from 39,016 in March 2023 to 34,242 in March 2024. This decline signals a cooling in the real estate market over the past year.

Cash Sales: Cash sales fell by 13.6%, from 14,975 in March 2023 to 12,940 in March 2024. Despite this decrease, cash sales still represent a significant portion of the market, constituting 37.8% of all closed sales in March 2024.

Median Sale Price: The median sale price for all property types rose by 3.7%, climbing from $375,000 in March 2023 to $389,000 in March 2024. This implies that while the number of sales is declining, the value of properties remains robust.

Average Sale Price: The average sale price increased by 8.2%, from $519,922 in March 2023 to $562,320 in March 2024.

sunstats-infograph Florida Housing Market May 2024

These price trends indicate strong demand for properties despite a slowdown in sales volume. The continued rise in prices underscores sustained interest from buyers, potentially driven by the overall desirability of Florida's real estate.

As we look ahead, several factors will likely influence the Florida housing market in 2024. Legislative changes, economic indicators, and demographic shifts shape the real estate landscape. Investors, sellers, and buyers must stay informed about these developments to make strategic decisions.

It’s important to understand that the Florida real estate market remains dynamic. Despite the fluctuations in sales figures and the rise in real estate prices, the market shows signs of resilience and long-term growth potential. As the market continues to evolve, staying updated with these trends will be essential for anyone involved in the Florida housing market.

Looking beyond 2024, we forecast that the Florida real estate market will continue attracting interest from domestic and international buyers. Florida's climate, lifestyle, and favorable tax conditions make it an attractive destination for real estate investments. The sustained demand for properties, even amid economic uncertainties, highlights the strength and appeal of the Florida housing market.

In conclusion, while the Florida housing market faces declining sales figures and rising prices, the overall outlook remains positive. Investors and homebuyers should consider these trends as they navigate the market. With informed decision-making and strategic planning, opportunities in the Florida real estate market will continue to abound.

What's Driving Florida's Real Estate Prices?

The Florida real estate market, known for its dynamic nature and diverse offerings, is heavily influenced by many factors that drive real estate prices. As we look into 2024, understanding what's driving Florida's real estate prices becomes critical for investors, homeowners, and potential buyers. Several key elements are shaping the landscape of Florida's real estate and housing market, contributing to the rise in housing prices across the state.

sunstats-chart Florida Real Estate Prices: 2012-2024

Firstly, population growth remains a significant driver of Florida real estate prices. Florida attracts new residents rapidly due to its favorable climate, tax benefits, and high quality of life. People from states with higher taxes and colder temperatures are relocating to Florida, creating a sustained demand for housing. This influx of residents directly impacts housing prices, increasing prices as more people compete for the available real estate.

Secondly, the booming job market in Florida, especially in metropolitan areas like Miami, Orlando, and Tampa, is another crucial factor. These cities are experiencing significant economic growth, attracting businesses and generating employment opportunities. With higher employment rates and better job prospects, more individuals and families are looking to move to Florida, again driving up real estate prices. The correlation between job availability and housing demand significantly affects the housing market and pushes prices upward.

Florida's attractiveness as a retirement destination cannot be overlooked. The state consistently ranks as a top retirement destination due to its warm climate, abundant recreational activities, and senior-friendly communities. This demographic creates a sustained demand for real estate, particularly in regions with popular retirement communities. The steady influx of retirees purchasing homes continues to drive Florida real estate prices higher.

Additionally, tourism and the short-term rental market contribute substantially to what's driving Florida's real estate prices. Cities like Miami, Orlando, and Fort Lauderdale are global tourist destinations, bringing millions of visitors annually. Property owners and investors capitalize on this by purchasing real estate for short-term rentals, thus increasing demand in tourist-heavy areas. This increased demand from investors aiming to benefit from short-term rental income elevates housing prices and impacts the broader real estate market.

The supply and demand dynamics within the Florida real estate market also play an essential role. While demand continues to soar, the housing supply struggles to keep up due to various constraints, such as zoning regulations, construction costs, and land availability. When demand significantly outpaces supply, it pushes real estate prices upward, making existing properties more valuable and new constructions more expensive.

Furthermore, the influence of low mortgage rates shouldn't be underestimated. Over the past few years, historically low mortgage rates have made borrowing more affordable, enabling more people to enter the housing market. This increased purchasing power has intensified competition for available homes, driving up real estate prices.

Lastly, Florida’s real estate market benefits from international buyers and investors who view the state as a lucrative and stable investment. The global appeal of Florida, combined with its strong economic fundamentals and enticing lifestyle, attracts foreign investments. These international purchases inject significant capital into the housing market and contribute to the upward trend in real estate prices.

In summary, a combination of population growth, economic opportunities, retirement attractiveness, tourism, supply-demand imbalance, mortgage rates, and international investment drives Florida's real estate prices. Each of these factors creates a complex yet predictable pattern impacting housing prices and shaping the future of the Florida real estate market.

What's Affecting the Florida Housing Market in 2024?

Numerous factors are shaping the Florida housing market in 2024, including home prices, inventory levels, and overall market conditions. Below, we delve into the key elements affecting the housing market this year.

One of the biggest influences on home prices within the Florida housing market in 2024 is the current state of interest rates. Higher interest rates have made borrowing more expensive, reducing buyer affordability and demand. Consequently, we may see stabilization or even a modest decline in home prices, particularly in regions that experienced rapid growth during previous boom periods.

The employment rate is a vital factor when it comes to housing demand. Florida has been experiencing strong job market growth, which generally bolsters higher home prices due to increased buyer confidence and purchasing power. However, any downturn in the job market could negatively affect housing demand and lead to softer prices.

Thanks to its favorable climate, tax policies, and desirable lifestyle, Florida remains an attractive destination for new residents. Ongoing population growth continues to fuel demand for housing, though it is expected to slow down slightly in 2024. This slowing growth could relieve pressure on housing supply, potentially leading to less aggressive price increases.

The inventory of homes for sale in Florida has significantly risen, climbing by 53.7% from 97,392 units in March 2023 to 149,690 units in March 2024. This increase in available properties offers more choices for buyers and is likely to help moderate price growth, thereby shifting some market power back to buyers.

sunstats-chart Florida Real Estate Inventory Levels: 2012-2024

Legislative measures and market interventions are also crucial in shaping the Florida housing market in 2024. Potential legislative actions, such as reductions in sales tax on manufactured homes, aim to make homeownership more affordable. Programs targeting rising insurance costs and enhancing safety standards are also in place to protect homeowners and maintain market stability.

Experts have varying opinions about the direction of the Florida housing market in 2024. Some predict continued growth driven by strong demand and solid economic fundamentals. Others believe high interest rates and increased inventory could slow price growth or even slight corrections in certain areas. Overall, the market is anticipated to remain robust, presenting opportunities for buyers and sellers to navigate strategically.

In conclusion, the Florida housing market in 2024 is influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including interest rates, employment conditions, population growth, inventory levels, and legislative measures. While some expect home prices would soften in Florida due to these variables, others see potential for continued growth. Understanding these influences will be fundamental for anyone looking to make informed real estate decisions in Florida.

Key Mortgage Trends in Florida

As of May 2024, Florida's mortgage rates are relatively high compared to historical norms. Below is a detailed breakdown of the current rates and the factors influencing them:

30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in Florida ranges from 7.02% to 7.568%, depending on the lender and specific conditions.

15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: The rates for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage are approximately between 6.28% to 6.304%.

5-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM): For those considering a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage, the rates are averaging around 7.915%.

30-Year Fixed-Rate VA Loan: Veterans can benefit from lower rates with VA loans, which average about 6.494% for a 30-year fixed-rate.

These figures represent composites from diverse sources, including LendingTree, NerdWallet, and

Federal Reserve Policies: The Federal Reserve's policies to control inflation significantly affect the current mortgage rates. Despite pausing rate hikes in July 2023, these policies continue to exert upward pressure on rates.

Economic Conditions: The broader economic landscape, including factors like inflation rates, employment levels, and overall economic health, heavily influences mortgage rates. High inflation typically results in higher interest rates as lenders seek to offset decreased purchasing power.

Credit Scores: Individual credit scores substantially impact the mortgage rates offered to borrowers. Higher credit scores generally qualify for better rates, while lower scores lead to higher rates due to increased lending risk.

Loan Type and Term: The type and term of the mortgage also affect the rates. Different loan products such as conventional, FHA, and VA loans and varying terms like 15-year vs. 30-year loans have distinct rate structures, with government-backed loans often offering lower rates.

Market Demand and Supply: The dynamics of the Florida housing market, shaped by demand and supply, also influence mortgage rates. A surge in housing demand or a tight supply can increase rates, whereas an abundance of available homes might stabilize or lower them.

Global Economic Factors: External elements like geopolitical tensions, global pandemics, and international economic shifts can impact U.S. mortgage rates by affecting investors' behaviors and the global financial outlook.

Lender Competition: The level of competition among lenders significantly impacts the mortgage rates offered to consumers. Heightened competition can result in more favorable rates as lenders compete for business.

Understanding the current mortgage rates and their influencing factors is essential for potential homebuyers in the Florida real estate market. With mortgage rates remaining high yet exhibiting slight variability, borrowers must shop around, compare options, and consider their financial situations meticulously. Given the dynamic nature of the 2024 Florida housing market, staying informed is crucial for making sound decisions amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Florida Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years

The Florida real estate market has always been dynamic, with various factors influencing its trends and prices. As we look ahead to the next five years, several key elements will shape the direction of the Florida housing market in 2024 and beyond. Population growth will be one of the state's primary drivers of real estate activity. Florida continues to attract new residents due to its favorable climate, lack of state income tax, and rich cultural amenities, making it an appealing destination for retirees and younger individuals seeking new opportunities. This influx of new residents will undoubtedly significantly impact the Florida real estate market, increasing demand for housing and potentially driving up prices.

Another critical factor influencing the future of the Florida housing market is the state's economic performance. Florida's diverse economy encompasses everything from tourism to aerospace and finance. The continued growth in these industries will likely support a stable and growing real estate market. Additionally, infrastructure developments, such as public transit and roadway expansions, will enhance accessibility and make various regions more attractive for buyers and investors.

Interest rates and mortgage trends will also be crucial in shaping the Florida housing market in 2024 and the following years. Currently, fluctuating mortgage rates are affecting borrowing costs and home affordability. If interest rates remain relatively low, we can expect sustained demand in the real estate market. However, any significant hikes in mortgage rates could temper this growth and lead to a cooling off in real estate activity.

Moreover, housing inventory levels will be determined over the next five years. The market could face potential constraints if new construction doesn't keep pace with rising demand. Low inventory levels often increase buyer competition, further driving up real estate prices. Builders and developers will, therefore, play a pivotal role in shaping supply dynamics, particularly in high-demand areas such as Miami, Orlando, and Tampa.

Technological advancements are another aspect worth considering. The increasing use of digital tools and platforms for buying, selling, and managing property will likely streamline and expedite real estate transactions. This innovation could lead to a more efficient Florida housing market, benefiting buyers and sellers with quicker and more transparent processes.

Furthermore, changes in demographic trends, such as the growing number of millennial and Gen Z buyers entering the market, will shape demand for different housing types. These younger buyers are often looking for affordable, tech-friendly, and sustainable homes, which could shift the market's focus towards more environmentally-conscious building practices and smart home technologies.

In conclusion, the Florida real estate market over the next five years will be influenced by many factors, including population growth, economic performance, mortgage trends, housing inventory levels, technological advancements, and changing demographics. Keeping a close eye on these elements will be crucial for investing in the Florida housing market in 2024 and beyond. The ongoing evolution of these factors will ultimately determine the trajectory of real estate prices and market trends, making Florida a continually intriguing place for residential buyers and investors alike.

Will the Housing Market Crash in Florida?

Whether the Florida housing market will crash in 2024 is complex, with multiple factors. Here’s an analysis of the current state of the market and what might lie ahead.

Current Market Conditions

Home Prices and Inventory

Florida's housing market has shown resilience with higher home prices than historical norms. As of early 2024, the statewide median price for single-family homes reached $415,000, reflecting a slight increase year-over-year. Despite the rise in prices, closed sales have decreased, indicating a potential softening in demand.

Housing inventory levels have increased significantly, up by 34% year-over-year. This rise in inventory, especially in regions like Cape Coral and Fort Myers that were affected by Hurricane Ian, has provided more options for buyers and could help stabilize prices.

Interest Rates

High mortgage rates are a significant factor affecting the housing market. Rates have risen to over 7% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, which has impacted affordability and reduced the pool of eligible buyers. This increase in borrowing costs has slowed down the market activity, contributing to the cooling of the housing boom.

Factors Mitigating a Market Crash

Population Growth

Florida continues to attract new residents due to its favorable climate, tax policies, and job opportunities. This steady in-migration supports housing demand, even as economic pressures mount. The influx of remote workers and retirees ensures a consistent base of potential buyers.

Economic and Employment Conditions

The state's robust economy and job market growth provide a buffer against a severe market downturn. Strong economic fundamentals and ongoing population growth help sustain demand for housing.


While there has been an uptick in foreclosures, particularly in areas like Lakeland, Orlando, and Miami, the overall numbers are not yet at levels that would indicate an impending crash. The increase in foreclosures is partly a correction from the artificially low levels seen during pandemic-related moratoriums.

Expert Opinions

Experts have mixed views on the future of the Florida housing market. Some predict continued growth driven by strong demographic demand and limited supply. Others foresee a potential decline in home prices due to weakening buyer demand and increasing inventory. However, a significant market crash seems unlikely. Most experts suggest moderating the frenetic price growth rather than a sharp decline.

While the Florida housing market faces challenges such as high mortgage rates and rising inventory levels, the underlying demand driven by population growth and economic strength mitigates the risk of a market crash. The market is expected to stabilize with slower price growth and increased inventory, which will provide more opportunities for buyers. Sellers may face longer listing times and more competition but can still expect relatively healthy sale prices.

How is the Florida Housing Market for Investors?

As we look towards 2024, the Florida housing market continues to be an enticing landscape for investors. With its diverse regional markets and resilience in economic downturns, Florida real estate remains a reliable asset class. The following year, significant factors such as demographic shifts, economic growth, and interest rates will play crucial roles in shaping the Florida real estate market and influencing housing prices. This year's predictions for the Florida housing market indicate a blend of opportunities and challenges for prospective investors.

Firstly, Florida's population growth is a significant catalyst driving the real estate market. The state's favorable climate, business opportunities, and lack of state income tax policy make it an attractive destination for retirees, young professionals, and families. These demographic trends are expected to sustain high demand for housing, thus supporting real estate prices. Investors looking to capitalize on the growing population should consider markets like Miami, Orlando, and Tampa, where economic activities are buoyant and residential developments are continuously expanding.

Moreover, Florida's economy is projected to grow steadily in 2024. The state's diversified economy, which spans tourism, agriculture, aerospace, and healthcare, adds a layer of stability to the real estate market. As Florida's economy thrives, it generates more jobs, increasing the housing demand. This creates a favorable climate for investors keen on long-term growth in their real estate portfolios. Consequently, such optimistic economic forecasts will likely keep housing prices upward.

The mortgage landscape is another essential aspect that investors in the Florida housing market need to consider. Interest rates, which remain relatively low compared to historical averages, provide access to cheaper financing, making real estate investments more attractive. Although fluctuations in the federal interest rate could impact mortgage rates, the overall outlook for 2024 is promising. Lower borrowing costs can improve investment returns and increase buyers' affordability, potentially driving up Florida real estate prices even further.

However, it’s essential to remain vigilant about potential market challenges. While the Florida real estate market has been characterized by strong demand, supply constraints could pose issues. Limited inventory and rising construction costs might restrict the pace at which new housing can meet the growing demand. This supply-demand imbalance could increase housing prices, creating a competitive market scenario for investors. It remains pivotal for investors to conduct thorough due diligence and stay informed about local market conditions to navigate these challenges effectively.

One should also consider the impact of global economic factors on the Florida housing market. International trade relations, global economic health, and currency fluctuations could influence investor sentiment and capital flow into Florida real estate. Given the state's appeal to international investors, any shifts in global economic conditions could affect demand and property prices. Thus, keeping an eye on international market trends will be crucial for investors in 2024.

In conclusion, the Florida real estate market in 2024 offers a promising yet complex landscape for investors. Factors like robust population growth, economic expansion, favorable mortgage conditions, and external economic influences shape the investment potential in Florida housing. While rising real estate prices and supply constraints present challenges, the market's underlying strength makes it a compelling investment destination. Investors who adopt a strategic, well-researched approach can leverage these opportunities and achieve fruitful outcomes in the dynamic Florida housing market.

By Ed DiMarco MS, MA

As an established authority in Florida’s real estate market with nearly two decades of experience, Ed DiMarco delivers expert insights into the latest market trends and dynamics. This comprehensive Florida real estate market analysis provides valuable perspectives on current conditions, future predictions, and critical factors shaping the landscape. Ed’s extensive background in real estate investments and luxury transactions ensures a detailed and informed evaluation of the market, guiding readers through the complexities of buying, selling, and investing in Florida real estate.



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