Naples Real Estate Market's Ongoing Decline in 2025
- Ed DiMarco MS, MA
- Jan 26
- 4 min read
Updated: Aug 26
Naples, FL Real Estate Market in 2025: Overview
Naples, Florida, renowned for its beautiful beaches, luxurious lifestyle, and vibrant cultural scene, is currently undergoing an interesting period of change. As one of Florida’s most sought-after real estate markets, the city is facing shifting dynamics in 2025 that are redefining its previously booming landscape. Increasing inventory levels, fluctuating home values, and economic pressures are contributing to a slowdown in the market after years of rapid growth.
Naples has been a magnet for affluent retirees and investors drawn to its upscale charm for decades. But the tides appear to be turning. The city’s real estate market, which experienced a pandemic-induced boom, is now showing signs of cooling. This year, the story is one of adjustment—a pivot from a seller’s paradise to a more balanced, and in some cases buyer-favored, environment.
The Changing Face of Home Values
Average home values in Naples are no longer soaring as they once were. According to recent figures, the city’s median sale price markedly declined, falling to $800,000 by the close of 2024, a significant 17.9% year-over-year drop reported by Redfin. Zillow corroborates this downward trend, noting an average home value of $576,395 by the end of 2024, a 3.6% decrease from the prior year. The days of consistent double-digit appreciation are behind us, at least for now.
Median Home Prices Reported by Different Sources
Source | Metric | Value | Date | Change YoY |
Average Home Value | $576,395 | Dec 31, 2024 | -3.60% | |
Rocket Homes | Median Sold Price | $638,256 | Dec 2024 | +2.5% |
Median Sale Price | $800,000 | Dec 2024 | -17.90% | |
Median Home Sales Price | $795,000 | Dec 2024 | -0.6% | |
LuxuryHomes | Average Home Sale Price | $998,029 | Jan 2, 2025 | +2.7% |
Median Listing Price | $750,000 | Dec 2024 | -8.50% | |
Median Listing Price/SqFt | $406 | Dec 2024 | N/A | |
Zillow | Median Sale to List Ratio | 0.955 | Nov 30, 2024 | N/A |
Median Sale Price | $525,833 | Nov 30, 2024 | N/A | |
Median List Price | $696,000 | Dec 31, 2024 | N/A |
However, the picture is not uniformly bleak. Other data sources paint a mixed scenario, with some reporting slight upticks in specific market segments. Bankrate’s figures indicate a minor decline in the median home price of $795,000, reflecting a 0.6% annual decrease. Such discrepancies highlight the nuanced nature of Naples’ market, where luxury properties and waterfront homes continue to command premium prices, even as broader trends suggest softening.
Naples Housing: A Market in Transition
A closer look reveals that 2025 is shaping up to be a year of recalibration for Naples’ real estate. The surge in inventory levels has fundamentally altered market dynamics. According to recent data, the months’ supply of inventory reached 8.12 months in December 2024, up dramatically from 4.67 months the year before. This steep increase—a 105% rise—has shifted the balance of power. Buyers now have more options and greater negotiating leverage than in years past.
The rise in inventory is not just a statistical blip; it’s reshaping how deals are made. Sellers, once accustomed to bidding wars and rapid sales, now face increased pressure to price competitively and make concessions. Homes that might have flown off the market in mere days are now lingering, with the average time to sell climbing to 80 days by December 2024, a 37.8% increase compared to the previous year.
Economic Pressures and Affordability Challenges
Interest rates play a crucial role in housing affordability and are significant in the evolving market of Naples. By the end of 2024, average mortgage rates had risen to 7.04%, marking the highest level in years. This increase in rates limits affordability and reduces purchasing power for many buyers, particularly those who rely on financing. In contrast, cash buyers—who historically represent 35-50% of transactions in Naples—are somewhat insulated from these challenges and continue to maintain a strong presence in the market.
Yet, rising rates are not the only headwind. Broader economic concerns, including inflation and recession fears, overshadow buyer confidence. Additionally, increasing insurance costs for flood and hurricane coverage make coastal properties less affordable and, in some cases, less appealing. Environmental factors, such as the growing risk of flooding due to climate change, influence buyer decisions, particularly among out-of-state purchasers who might be more risk-averse.
The Luxury Market: A Bright Spot Amid Decline
While much of the market shows signs of slowing, Naples’ luxury segment remains resilient. High-net-worth individuals continue to be drawn to the city’s exclusive waterfront properties and gated communities. The influx of wealthy buyers, often traveling via private jets, has buoyed the upper end of the market, even as the broader landscape shifts.
According to LuxuryHomes, the average sale price of high-end properties reached nearly $1 million by early 2025, a modest yet notable 2.7% increase compared to the previous year. This suggests that while the overall market faces headwinds, Naples’ reputation as a haven for luxury living remains intact.
A Cautious Outlook for the 2025 Naples Housing Market
As Naples approaches 2025, the direction of the real estate market will be influenced by a combination of local and macroeconomic factors. An increase in inventory and rising interest rates are expected to keep the market relatively subdued. Additionally, environmental concerns and affordability challenges may discourage some buyers. However, Naples’ lasting reputation as a luxury destination will continue to drive demand for high-end properties, providing stability amid an otherwise uncertain market.
This period of transition offers opportunities for buyers. Greater inventory levels and longer sale times mean less competition and more negotiating power. For sellers, the focus must shift to strategic pricing and effective marketing to stand out in a crowded market.
In this evolving environment, one thing is clear: Naples’ real estate market is no longer defined by unrelenting growth but by adaptability and resilience. To achieve their goals, buyers and sellers must navigate these new realities with care and foresight.
By: Ed DiMarco, MS, MA Luxury, Investment, & Commercial Specialist
Ed DiMarco is a seasoned real estate professional with decades of experience. As a Naples-based expert, Ed guides clients through complex market conditions, ensuring successful luxury, investment, and commercial real estate outcomes. Contact Ed at Ed@NaplesEd.com to learn more about navigating the Naples real estate market.