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Writer's pictureEd DiMarco MS, MA

Florida Real Estate Market Overview – 2024 to 2025

Florida Real Estate Market Overview – 2024 to 2025

The Florida real estate market 2024 presents a dynamic and evolving landscape, marked by stabilizing home prices, increasing inventory levels, and changing buyer behaviors. Understanding the trends is critical to making informed decisions for potential buyers and sellers. This summary breaks down the key factors influencing the market in 2024 and provides insights into what the future might hold.


Moderate Price Growth in Florida Real Estate in 2024

One of the standout trends in Florida’s housing market this year is the modest growth in home prices. Compared to the double-digit price spikes seen during the pandemic years, 2024 is seeing much slower increases, with home prices expected to rise by just 3.4%. This stabilization is a positive development for buyers previously priced out of the market. While prices remain high compared to pre-pandemic levels, the slower pace allows buyers to enter the market with less pressure.


This cooling means that while properties still appreciate, sellers may need to adjust their price expectations to align with current market conditions. Sellers also face more competition as inventory levels rise, making proper pricing and strategic marketing essential for securing deals.


Rising Inventory Levels Offer Florida Home Buyers More Choices

Inventory levels have seen a notable increase in 2024, giving buyers more options and reducing the urgency that characterized the market in previous years. Single-family homes have seen a 10.7% rise in new listings year-over-year, expected to continue throughout the rest of the year. This growing inventory contributes to the more extended time properties are spending on the market, which now averages over a month, up from the shorter timelines seen in the red-hot market of 2021-2022.


This shift creates a more buyer-friendly environment, where prospective homeowners can take their time evaluating properties, negotiate more favorable terms, and avoid the bidding wars that were common just a few years ago. With fewer homes selling above the asking price and more sellers reducing their list prices, buyers have more leverage in 2024.


Impact of High Mortgage Rates on the Market

Despite the increase in inventory and slower price growth, high mortgage rates continue to affect affordability in Florida’s housing market. With rates hovering above 6%, many buyers find it more challenging to finance their purchases, particularly in a market where home prices remain historically high. The cost of borrowing has slowed sales activity and pushed some buyers out of the market, especially first-time homebuyers.


However, for those who can secure financing, the increased negotiating power and more incredible selection of properties offer an opportunity to find a home at a fair price. As mortgage rates are expected to decline slowly later in 2024, the market may see a rebound in buyer activity as affordability improves.


What’s Ahead for Florida Real Estate in 2025?

Looking ahead to 2025, the Florida real estate market is expected to continue its trend toward stabilization. Home prices are predicted to rise modestly, with 1% to 2.5% increases, and inventory levels will likely remain elevated. This balanced market offers a more predictable environment for both buyers and sellers. While demand is expected to remain strong, particularly in urban areas like Miami and Tampa, the availability of more homes will help prevent the runaway price hikes seen in previous years.


Coastal regions, particularly those with a high concentration of condos, may experience slower growth or even price declines, especially in older buildings. Inland areas, such as Orlando, are expected to see steadier market conditions, with fewer fluctuations in pricing and demand.


Key Takeaways for Buyers and Sellers in Florida Real Estate

For buyers, 2024 is shaping up to be a favorable time to enter the Florida real estate market. The combination of rising inventory, fewer bidding wars, and the potential for lower mortgage rates later in the year provides an opportunity for those looking to purchase a home. Buyers should remain patient and vigilant, monitoring local market conditions closely to make informed decisions.


While the market remains strong, sellers must adjust expectations to reflect the new realities of more extended time on the market and more competition. Proper pricing and home presentation will attract buyers and promptly close deals.


FAQ: Florida Real Estate Market for Late 2024 to Early 2025


1. What is the expected price growth for homes in Florida in 2024?

Home prices in Florida are expected to grow by a modest 3.4% in 2024. This is a significant reduction from the double-digit growth rates seen during the pandemic years, reflecting a more stable and balanced market.


2. How has inventory changed in the Florida housing market in 2024?

Inventory levels have risen significantly in 2024, with new listings for single-family homes increasing by 10.7% year-over-year. This rise in inventory provides buyers with more options and contributes to a more balanced market.


3. Are mortgage rates still high in Florida in 2024?

Yes, mortgage rates remain high, hovering above 6% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. These higher borrowing costs impact affordability for many buyers and slow overall sales activity.


4. Is it a buyer’s or seller’s market in Florida in 2024?

2024 is increasingly shifting toward a buyer-friendly market. The rise in inventory levels and slower price growth give buyers more negotiating power and more time to evaluate properties, while sellers face more competition.


5. What areas of Florida are seeing the most demand in 2024?

Metro areas such as Miami, Tampa, and Orlando continue to see the highest demand due to ongoing population growth and in-migration. These urban areas remain highly desirable, though increased inventory balances demand and supply.


6. How long will homes stay on the market in Florida in 2024?

The time homes spend on the market has increased, with properties averaging over a month before going under contract. This reflects more balanced conditions compared to the rapid sales seen in previous years.


7. Will home prices continue to rise in Florida in 2025?

Home prices are expected to rise modestly in 2025, with increases between 1% and 2.5%. The market is stabilizing, and while demand remains strong, the availability of more homes will help moderate price growth.


8. What challenges are buyers facing in the Florida real estate market?

Buyers in Florida face high mortgage rates, which impact affordability. However, the increased inventory and slower price growth in 2024 give them more options and negotiating power than in previous years.


9. What is the forecast for the condo market in Florida?

The condo market, particularly in older buildings in coastal areas, may see slower growth or even price declines in 2024 and 2025. Demand for condos remains strong, but these areas are more prone to price adjustments due to increased competition and aging infrastructure.


10. Is now a good time to sell a home in Florida?

While the market remains strong, sellers in 2024 need to adjust their expectations. With more competition and longer times on the market, proper pricing and strategic marketing are crucial to closing deals.


11. Will mortgage rates drop in 2024?

Mortgage rates are expected to continue to decline gradually in 2024, potentially improving affordability for buyers. However, they are likely to remain higher than the historic lows seen during the pandemic years.


12. What factors drive demand in Florida's housing market?

Population growth, in-migration from other states, and favorable tax policies drive demand in Florida’s housing market, particularly in urban and coastal areas. These factors are keeping demand strong even as the market stabilizes.


13. How does the Florida housing market differ in coastal vs. inland areas?

Coastal areas, particularly those with a high concentration of condos, are seeing more price fluctuations and slower growth. Inland areas, like Orlando, are experiencing more stable market conditions with less volatility.


14. Is Florida real estate still a good investment in 2024?

Yes, Florida remains an attractive market for real estate investment, especially for long-term investors. While price appreciation has slowed, the state’s population growth and strong demand make it a solid market for future returns.


15. What should buyers focus on when entering the Florida housing market in 2024?

Buyers should focus on local market conditions, monitor inventory levels, and know mortgage rate trends. With more options and slower price growth, buyers have greater flexibility to negotiate favorable terms and find the right property.


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